Better to bring capacity back with a 777X or 777-300ER? Part 2

By Bjorn Fehrm

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Introduction

May 7, 2020, © Leeham News: With the Covid-19 pandemic depressing passenger traffic for years to come, we started an analysis last week on the options the airlines have who wait for their Boeing 777-9. Hold on to their 777-300ER or upgrade to the newer and more efficient 777-9?

We deepen the analysis this week by comparing the economics of a 10 years old 777-300ER versus a new 777-9.

Figure 1. The 777X has 30% larger windows than standard in the class. Source: Boeing.

Summary:
  • The 777X is best seen as a cross between a Boeing 787 and a 777-300ER. It inherits the passenger comfort features the 787 brought to the market like lower cabin altitude, higher cabin humidity, larger windows, and a smoother ride.
  • If a 777-9, with it's higher capital costs, can compete on operating cost with a used 777-300ER depends on the fuel price.

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