Boeing cargo forecast: 540 new 777F, 747-8F category deliveries over 20 years

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Boeing forecasts a requirement for 540 new cargo aircraft of 80 tonnes and up over the next 20 years. This is for airplanes in the Boeing 777F and 747-8F category.

Another 250 new-build cargo airplanes in the 40-80 tonne sector are also forecast in the latest Boeing Cargo forecast for 2014-2033, issued this month. Boeing also forecasts 1,330 P2F conversions.

The forecast is premised on an expectation that cargo traffic will grow at an annual rate of 4.7%.

The forecast appears to fly in the face of conventional wisdom.


  • New-build freighter deliveries lag at Airbus and Boeing.
  • Freight is increasingly being carried in the bellies of passenger aircraft.
  • Airbus, Boeing orders for new-build freighters stalled.
  • Cargo load factors dismal.
  • IATA data points to continued challenges.


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