Officials don’t have available delivery slots until 2020, bar a few here and there, to attract sizeable orders.
The future of the aging CRJ could get a boost from recalcitrant Us labor unions who refuse to alter the 86,000 lb aircraft weight limit under the Scope Clauses. These make the Embraer E175-E2 and Mitsubishi MRJ90 too heavy for the regional airlines providing contract flying for the US majors.
The future of the Q400 turboprop looks bleak.
The CSeries delivery stream appears sufficient to match production ramp up through 2019.
There is a big production gap in 2020 at the target rate of 10/mo.
More than 50 firm orders have indefinite deferred delivery dates.
The backlog for the CRJ “falls off the cliff” next year, as does the Q400.