June 15, 2017, © Leeham Co.: Leeham News and Comment is off to the Paris Air Show.
Coverage will begin Sunday, with several events in advance of the show’s official opening Monday. We’ll be there through Thursday, with the end-of-show press conference by Airbus.
We provided a full preview May 22 for our paywall customers.
Here’s an update, in an abbreviated version:
There may be a major personnel announcement at the show. Or there may not. This one has done back-and-forth.
We’re expecting at least a couple of hundred orders to be announced, which will give Airbus a major boost in its year-to-date orders race with Boeing.
But first thing Monday morning….
…Boeing is expected to launch the 737 MAX 10 with orders from Lion Air, Spice Jet, China’s CDB Leasing and perhaps one or two more. Except for CDB, the key question will be whether the orders are truly incremental to Boeing or conversions of existing orders.
The MAX 10 is what Boeing should have launched in 2011, instead of the MAX 9. But you can’t un-ring that bell.
No NMA launch.
Nothing of consequence. The CS300 will be at the show.
YTD, EMB’s order book has been disappointing. We’re looking for some catch-up here. The E195-E2 will be at the show. So will the new KC-390 MRTT military airplane.
Don’t expect the COMAC C919 or Irkut MC-21 at the show. The C919 hasn’t flown since its first test flight and the MC-21 only just completed its second.