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Introduction

Boeing 777. Photo via Google images.

March 28, 2016, © Leeham Co.: A downturn in the order cycle, low fuel prices and backlogs extending to 2020 and beyond combine to reduce the likelihood of much in the way of wide-body orders this year, say commercial aviation officials.

A preference for smaller twin-aisle jets could also hurt sales of larger twin-aisle airplanes, according to observers.

These factors spell challenges for Airbus and Boeing for the A350-1000, the 777-300ER and the 777X.

Summary

• “Nobody’s talking about the A350-1000 or the 777X,” says the president of a leading lessor.
• Preference indicated for the smaller Boeing 787-9 over the larger 777-300ER for new routes.
• Low fuel prices reduce the need for new technology jets.