Boeing leans toward new 737, not Re-Engine: analyst

Boeing is leaning toward a new airplane to replace the 737 rather than proceeding with a re-engining program, an aerospace analyst wrote in a report issued today.

Richard Safran of the boutique Buckingham Research came away from Boeing Capital Corp’s annual investor’s update with an analysis that is a potentially paradigm-shifting conclusion that Boeing will forget about the widely-assumed plan to re-engine the 737 to meet an expected decision by Airbus to re-engine the A320 family–itself a decision largely driven by competition from Bombardier’s CSeries.

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Wake up notice to IAM, SPEEA and WA State

The news that Boeing is leaning toward proceeding with a new airplane instead of a re-engined 737 serves as yet another wake-up call for Boeing’s labor unions and Washington State officials to get their act together.

As we report in the preceding post, Boeing may forget about re-engining the 737, a widely-held belief that the company would do so. If Boeing did, Washington State and the unions that build Boeing’s airplanes here were assured jobs would be safe as long as these legacy programs remained in production.

We have been speech-i-fying on this topic for a year in which we have repeatedly warned that once a clean-sheet airplane program is undertaken, Washington officials and the unions need to be concerned that Boeing will compete the production with other states to get better business and labor costs.

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USTR on subsidizing the A350

US Trade Rep. Ron Kirk was in Seattle this week and Aubry Cohen of The Seattle P-I has this story about the prospect of further European subsidies (or Reimbursable Launch Aid in Airbus jargon) for the A350.

KC-X’s latest twist: Contract after the election

Update, May 5:

The Pentagon denied the Defense News story. Here’s Defense News’ own report.

Original Post:
In a move that probably surprises no one, the Defense Department says it will issue the contract for the KC-X on November 12, which just happens to be after the November elections.

Here’s the story from Defense News.

Gollleeee. Whoda thunk it?

OEM implications from UA-CO merger

This is our quick take because we’re really busy.

  • Don’t assume Airbus or Boeing will be the long-term exclusive supplier to the new United. Even though Continental’s Jeff Smisek is the new CEO and he’s from the Continental-exclusive-Boeing-customer company, the new United is to have a balanced mix of officers and United has been a major Airbus customer.
  • United’s order for the Airbus A350 remains intact and the Continental crowd inherits this.
  • There remains a United order for about 42 Airbus A320s, though UAL has repeatedly said it didn’t expect to take delivery of this order. We’ve never followed the logic, fully expecting UAL to renegotiate the purchase price at some point as part of a new order.

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Tit for tat on KC-X

Stephen Trimble of Flight Global has EADS’ opening shot on talking point in Congress. It is brutally frank and takes off the gloves often kept on by Northrop Grumman in the KC-X competition.

We’ve seen–but do not yet have–Boeing’s resp0nse. We’ll post it when obtained.

Update: Boeing’s response is after the jump:

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Profile of 737 Lean Production

MSNBC has this long profile of the 737 Lean production system. This is a nice follow-on to an unrelated piece about 777 Lean production.

787, A350 “way over-ordered,” says UBS

In an analysis that might create heartburn for any number of people at any number of levels, David Strauss and his aerospace team at UBS Securities issued a report Tuesday (April 27) that concludes the next-generation of airplanes–the Boeing 787 and Airbus A350–are “way” over-ordered.

The “good” news (tongue-in-cheek, for those who don’t pick up on our odd humor) doesn’t stop there. UBS concludes that the Boeing 777,  Airbus A330 and Airbus A320 are also over-ordered.

The Boeing 737 is under-ordered, in the UBS view,  but this doesn’t relieve the concerns about this order-book, either, according to UBS.

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KC-X: price dumping and assessing risk

Now that EADS said it will bid after all for the KC-X contract, questions have been raised about the possibility EADS will offer pricing that is below its costs (or “price-dumping”) to win the contract. Boeing supporters, and Boeing itself, have raised this concern.

On the other side, EADS is focusing on the fact its KC-45 is in production and in flight tests while Boeing’s proposed KC-767 NewGen is a conceptual airplane that is a riskier prospect.

How are these two particular concerns dealt with?

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IAM threatens Boeing strike in 2012

Bloomberg has this long story looking at the 787 development since last June, when Boeing officials then predicted the airplane would make its first flight by June 30. Only two days later, Boeing announced another delay for the troubled program that ultimately stretched to six months.

Bloomberg’s story is an interesting look at the 787 program and other challenges facing Boeing as it recovers and prepares for new competition with Airbus in the 737 and 777s arenas.

But what caught our eye most was this excerpt:

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