Update, 2:30PM PDT: Boeing confirms that Tuesday is the target day for 787-9 first flight, time TBD and subject to weather and other factors.
Update, 3:30pm PDT: Bombardier says 9:30 EDT Monday is the scheduled first flight for CSeries. Twitter follow is #CSeries
Original Post:
It looks like it will be a busy week in aviation news. Bombardier plans the first flight of the CSeries tomorrow, weather permitting (it looks good). Exact time hasn’t been announced. Reuters reports Boeing plans the first flight of the 787-9 Tuesday, though we haven’t seen notice from Boeing on this yet. And we’re waiting any day for Lufthansa Airlines to announce its long-awaited wide-body order.
Lufthansa said to split order: Lufthansa Airlines reportedly will split its order for widebody airplanes between Boeing and Airbus, according to this Bloomberg report.
Embraer EJet improvements: Flight Global has this story about the improvements and another about production rates.
Air Force One: The Seattle Post-Intelligencer has a 42 slide photo display of Air Force Ones, past to present, that’s quite interesting.
Update: “Small Airbus:” If you listen carefully, someone at the end of the video notes that the CSeries “looks like a small Airbus 320.” We couldn’t help but chuckle at this.
[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OWgjBNI_l-I&w=420&h=315]
Posted on September 15, 2013 by Scott Hamilton
BBD v Boeing on First Flight: We, along with others, have wondered why Bombardier wants a clear, sunny day for first flight when Boeing flew the 787 on a rainy day in December. Was this some regulatory difference between Canada and the US, or was this a policy decision by BBD vs Boeing?
It’s a policy decision, BBD tells us. The Transport Canada flying permit is good for any weather, but the CSeries–for Bombardier–is an entirely new configuration (engines on pods under wings vs rear-mounted engines and T-Tail), new engine types, fly-by-wire and so on. So the company is being conservative. From a technical standpoint, the first flight could be on a rainy day such as that experienced by Boeing (which is tough not to have in Seattle in December).
The high speed taxi tests, followed by the shimmy and braking tests, do need a dry runway and low winds, BBD tells us.
Here’s the weather report through Tuesday at Mirabel Airport. Not very encouraging.
Meanwhile, The Toronto Star has this latest look at when the airplane may fly and comments from others.
Posted on September 11, 2013 by Scott Hamilton
787 Opens New Routes: The Boeing 787 is still getting some negative headlines about dispatch reliability, but the plane is proving Boeing’s underlying message about opening new, “thin” routes. The Tacoma News-Tribune has this story detailing how the 787 is fulfilling the dream (so-to-speak).
CSeries First Flight: The weather forecast in Montreal deteriorated further overnight. Now rain is predicted through Saturday, making first flight unlikely until at least Sunday.
Guess Whose Airplane? You’d never know from the titles and logo painted out, would you?
NBC News Photo
CNN has this story on the matter. This is the first accident in 12 years, according to Wikipedia when a crew member was killed in a fire that destroyed a Boeing 737 on the ground. The last accident involving passengers was in 1998, according to Wiki.
Speaking of Accidents: Here’s an unusual one: A Delta Air Lines commuter plane struck a car parked on the tarmac while the plane was being towed.
ClickonDetroit photo.
Let’s see the owner of the car explain this one to his insurance company.
Posted on September 10, 2013 by Scott Hamilton
Bombardier has finished taxi testing today following an increase in the winds. The weather forecast for Montreal calls for rain beginning tonight through Wednesday, with a sunny day forecast for Thursday.
BBD says it needs VFR weather for the first flight. So it appears there is no likelihood of a first flight at least through Wednesday.
Posted on September 9, 2013 by Scott Hamilton
The Bombardier CSeries completed the high speed taxi tests this morning. This means the first flight should be just days away, weather depending—and the forecast is iffy.
Bombardier tells us they “need” a clear, dry, calm day. Plans are to fly early in the morning–whatever day it turns out to be–because winds are calmer then than later in the day at Mirabel Airport north of Montreal.
The Boeing 787 first flight was on a rainy day. This Boeing-made video shows the weather conditions, with a wet runway and gloomy skies.
[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yuvM8TQ4zZc&w=420&h=315]
The 787 first flight was cut short due to rain moving in around Boeing Field and by the time the 787 landed, rain was falling.
Bombardier needs better conditions. We’ve asked whether this is by company policy or due to Canadian regulations; we’ll update when we have an answer.
But excitement is building. BBD tells us that people have lined the runway watching the taxi tests and plane-spotting in anticipation for the first flight.
Posted on September 6, 2013 by Scott Hamilton
The thrice-delayed first flight of the Bombardier CSeries may come Sunday, reports Reuters.
We previously posted some thoughts on the pending first flight. We expanded on these thoughts in our e-mail newsletter Aug. 26. Below is the entire newsletter.
Posted on September 4, 2013 by Scott Hamilton
Delta Air Lines announced an order today for 30 A321ceos and 10 A330-300 HGW. This is the first Airbus order from Delta in two decades; the only previous order was for nine A310-300s during the days of CEO Ron Allen. Allen ordered these aircraft shortly after acquiring A310-200s/300s when Delta bought part of the failing Pan Am.
But when the 1991 Gulf War happened and the US airline industry went into a tail-spin, Allen undertook a cost-cutting procedure that eliminated all A310s from the fleet, including the new orders–before all nine had even been delivered.
Delta subsequently was one of three US airlines to sign a 20-year exclusive supplier agreement with Boeing; American Airlines and Continental Airlines were the other two. But when, in 1997, Boeing and McDonnell Douglas proposed merging, the European Union demanded that the exclusive supplier agreements be voided. Boeing agreed not to enforce them. Still, Delta did not order Airbus until now.
But the current Delta management, led by Richard Anderson,* once ran Northwest Airlines. This management took over Delta upon its exit from bankruptcy following 9/11 turmoil that decimated the US airline industry. Anderson and his team ordered from both Airbus and Boeing while running Northwest, preferring to maintain a dual-source supply of airplanes. Anderson’s Delta previously ordered 100 Boeing 737-900ERs.
Delta is one of the few airlines that has yet to order the re-engined Airbus or Boeing single-aisle airplanes. The philosophy is that it wants to see the new technology in action before signing on. Northwest Airlines was the US launch customer for the Boeing 787, an order placed after Anderson’s team left NWA. Delta inherited this order when NWA was acquired, but Anderson’s team didn’t like what was happening with the 787-8 program and deferred the 787 order to at least 2020, according to the data base Ascend. Many think Delta may never take the 787, but this remains to be seen.
Delta came very close to ordering the Bombardier CSeries, but its caution against new technology and a worsening economy at the time killed the order for the time being.
Posted on September 4, 2013 by Scott Hamilton
It’s Actually is Rocket Science: It’s a clever headline from Bloomberg News, explaining why new airplane programs are delayed.
Focusing on smaller airplanes: Steven Udvar-Hazy, one of the craftiest executives in commercial aviation, is profiled in this LA Times story. He discusses his focus on smaller aircraft for his Air Lease Corp.
Boeing 787-9: Boeing rolled out the first 787-9 and is readying pre-flight tests.
Boeing photo
More analysis on DOJ vs AA-US: Here is Part 2 of Airchive’s analysis of the Department of Justice case seeking to block the American Airlines-US Airways merger.
Posted on August 26, 2013 by Scott Hamilton
Lufthansa’s Pending Order: As we have written on previous occasions, Lufthansa Airlines has been preparing a large order for twin-aisle, twin-engine aircraft: 50 or more. We’d noted that the order was likely due in September.
Aviation Week has this update.
Mitsubishi MRJ v Embraer E-Jet E2: Flight Global reports that the Japanese OEM says the latest 15 month delay won’t hurt sales of the MRJ (to which one wag notes it’s not selling well anyway–there are only three customers), but what caught our eye is the Mitsubishi reference comparing the MRJ with the Embraer E-Jet E2. This is like the debate of new vs re-engine between Bombardier’s CSeries and the smallest Airbus and Boeing products.
MAXimizing space: Boeing shifted work around at its Renton (WA) factory as it prepares for production of the 737 MAX. The Seattle Times has a good wrap up.
Posted on August 23, 2013 by Scott Hamilton
Airbus, Boeing, Bombardier, CSeries, Embraer, Mitsubishi
737 MAX, 777X, A350, Airbus, Boeing, Bombardier, E-Jet E2, Lufthansa, Mitsubishi, MRJ
Upgrades for the B-52: The USAF and Boeing are upgrading the Boeing B-52 bomber to further extend the service life. The LA Times via the Seattle Times has this story. This is remarkable; the B-52 was designed in 1948 to be the USA’s aerial backbone against the Soviet Union in the Cold War. It bombed Iraq in the 1991 Gulf War and continues to out-perform the B-1B bomber, which was supposed to replace the old gal, nicknamed by some as BUFF.
More on MRJ Delay: Mitsubishi made it official: the MRJ 90 passenger regional jet will be delayed another year. There are several stories via Google News; this Reuters piece is typical. Aviation Week has a good timeline recap.
Here’s how pending new airplane programs now appear to line up for Entry into Service:
Original | Current | |
CS100 | Dec-13 | e4Q2014* |
MRJ | 4Q2013 | 2Q2017 |
ARJ21 | 2006 | Good Question |
C919 | 2016 | 2018–> |
A320neo | Oct-15 | Oct-15 |
737-8 | Jul-17 | Jul-17 |
777X | e12-2019** | |
EJet E2 | 2018 | 2018 |
* One analyst suggests early 2015 | ||
** Market Intelligence estimate. |
We don’t have enough visibility on the Irkut MS-21 for inclusion in the Table.
Here’s a real oddity: A man in underwear broke into the German Chancellor’s airplane.
American-US Airways: Airchive has this long analysis (and it’s only Part 1 of 2), taking a look at the DOJ complaint. It’s 15 pages even after copy-and-paste into Word and re-sized to 10 point type.
Posted on August 22, 2013 by Scott Hamilton