Leeham News and Analysis
There's more to real news than a news release.
Collins Aerospace continues R&D on electrical options despite industry pullback
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By Scott Hamilton
Aug. 11, 2025, © Leeham News: At the Annual General Meeting of the International Air Transport Association (IATA) in October 2021, a detailed green aviation plan was adopted to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050.
The ambitious program included milestones in the use of Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) and other alternative fuels. The policy was part of a greater industry effort to develop battery, hydrogen, and hybrid-powered aircraft and eVTOLs.
Some 300 companies were founded to pursue these various objectives, and many global airlines adopted environmental goals. Some placed conditional orders for eVTOLS or hybrid aircraft.
Boeing focused on SAF development while Airbus pursued hydrogen-powered concepts. GE, Safran, Pratt & Whitney, Pratt & Whitney Canada (PWC), and Rolls-Royce each have or continue to research hybrid or new engine opportunities.
Todd Spierling of Collins Aerospace. Credit: Collins Aerospace.
Plenty of skepticism about reaching the Net Zero goal emerged even at the 2021 IATA AGM. Tim Clark, president of Emirates Airline, famously cautioned, Don’t make promises you can’t keep.
Since then, Airbus abandoned its hydrogen goal. Several airlines abandoned their net-zero goals. Most of the 300 start-up companies failed, notably Lilium, which went through an astonishing $1bn before collapsing into insolvency.
One company that acknowledged the idea that aircraft can be powered by batteries alone is Collins Aerospace, a unit of RTX Corp. In an interview with LNA before the Paris Air Show, Todd Spierling, a principal technical fellow, was clear.
“We’ve been working a lot with Pratt and Whitney on electrification and what it means,” Spierling said. “One of the things we found was if you just trade out fuel for batteries, it doesn’t work out.”
Bjorn’s Corner: Faster aircraft development. Part 2.
By Bjorn Fehrm
August 8, 2025, ©. Leeham News: We do a series about ideas on how the long development times for large airliners can be shortened. New projects talk about cutting development time and reaching certification and production faster than previous projects.
The series will discuss the typical development cycles for an FAA Part 25 aircraft, called a transport category aircraft, and what different ideas there are to reduce the development times.
We will use the Gantt plan in Figure 1 as a base for our discussions.
Figure 1. A generic Part 25 airliner development plan. Source: Leeham Co. Click to see better.
Boeing’s Ortberg’s first year as CEO: progress, but lots remaining to do
By Scott Hamilton
Analysis
Kelly Ortberg, shortly after assuming his position as the the CEO of The Boeing Co. on Aug. 8, 2024. It was his first visit to Boeing’s 737 production line. Credit: Boeing.
Aug. 8, 2025, © Leeham News: Today is the one-year anniversary of Kelly Ortberg stepping into what is probably the most challenging career move of his professional life: becoming the chief executive officer of The Boeing Co.
He took on a company that was in yet another existential crisis. It was still reeling from the Jan. 5, 2024, accident of Alaska Airlines flight 1282. On that date, a door plug of an inactive emergency exit on a new 737 MAX 9 that had been in service for a mere 10 weeks blew at 14,800 ft, minutes after takeoff from the Portland (OR) International Airport. But because of the circumstances and the skills of the pilots, there were only a few injuries, no fatalities, nobody was sucked out of the pressurized airplane, and the flight crew landed safely 16 harrowing minutes after taking off.
A new crisis was underway.
Progress Boeing had made in recovering from the twin MAX disasters of October 2018 and March 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic, and major production issues in the 737 and 787 lines ground to a halt. A new crisis of confidence in Boeing’s leadership, safety, and relationship with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) emerged.
As a result of AS 1282, CEO David Calhoun announced in March his “retirement;” sources say this wasn’t his decision, despite the public relations spin that it was. Calhoun said he would stick around until a new CEO was named.
Stan Deal, the CEO of Boeing Commercial Airplanes (BCA), likewise was “retiring” immediately. Board Chairman Larry Kellner would step down in April.
Related Stories
Summary
- Early Missteps with the unions
- Inaction on a SPEEA safety plan
- Returning to higher rate production
- Certification challenges remain
- Restoring Boeing’s financial health
- The next new airplane
Airbus’ A330neo gets better and better
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By Bjorn Fehrm
August 7, 2025, © Leeham News: Airbus’ A330neo, as the A330-900, entered the market in 2018. It’s a major improvement of the A330ceo that entered the market in 1994 as a 270-seat 3,900nm mid-range aircraft.
The present A330-900 has gradually improved its sales, prompting Airbus to increase the production rate from the planned four per month to five from 2029.
With a typical 290-seat cabin, Airbus advertises a 7,300nm range for the 251t Maximum TakeOff Weight (MTOW) version, quite a development from the original 212t A330-300. And now this is going to improve further from 2028, with a rise in the MTOW from 251t to 253t, together with other improvements.
Does this make the A330-900 into a trans-Ocean aircraft, and how does the improved version stack up against the Boeing 787-9? We use our Aircraft Performance and Cost Model (APCM) to find out.
Figure 1. The A330-900, a model that is selling better and better, 31 years after its introduction. Source: Airbus..
Summary:
- The Airbus A330 is like the proverbial cat; it has many lives. Just when the experts predicted it would slowly go away, it started selling again.
- In the version where it gets another MTOW hike, it can successfully cover transoceanic trunk routes.
Embraer reports record Q2 revenue and backlog; reaffirms 2025 outlook
By Tom Batchelor
Aug 5, 2025, © Leeham News: Embraer’s revenue and order backlog hit a record high in 2Q 2025, with the Brazilian manufacturer reaffirming its full-year guidance after a strong performance across its business.
The E2 family has improved fuel efficiency. Credit: Embraer
Revenues totaled $1.82 billion in Q2, a 22% increase year-on-year and the highest second-quarter revenue in the company’s history.
The standout driver was Executive Aviation, with segment revenues soaring 64% compared to Q2 2024.
Defense & Security, Services & Support and Commercial Aviation also performed well with increases in revenues of 18%, 13% and 4% yoy.
The company delivered 61 aircraft during the quarter, up 30% from 47 in the same period last year.
This included 19 commercial jets (10 E2s and 9 E1s), 38 executive jets (21 light and 17 medium), and 4 defense aircraft.
CEO Francisco Gomes Neto described the period as the “strongest second quarter in [Embraer’s] history.”
Boeing adds back deferred production costs for 777X in 1H2025
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By Karl Sinclair
August 5, 2025, © Leeham News: Boeing boosted program deferrals in the second financial quarter on the 777X and 737 MAX, shifting costs around, which had the effect of improving the profit-and-loss picture for the quarter.
Boeing spent more money on a unit-cost basis (UCB) than the company reported in its earnings.
Source: Boeing 2Q2025 Financial Reports.
Using program accounting, Boeing Commercial Aircraft (BCA) claimed a loss of $557m for the quarter. On a unit-cost basis (UCB), the amount spent to produce those aircraft delivered to airlines during the period was ~$1bn more than declared in its financial results.
However, the silver lining is that this is an improvement over the 1Q2025 UCB, when $2.933bn was lost.
This has become the typical result at BCA, where expenses are understated on the income statement, with a sizable portion capitalized and stored in Inventory.
Collins Aerospace pacing for new materials, production for next new airplane
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By Scott Hamilton
Aug. 4, 2025, © Leeham News: As the aviation industry considers what new major airliners to develop for the next 50 years, new engines, folding wings, advanced materials, and new design and production processes will also be key.
Collins Aerospace, a unit of RTX Corp., is deep into research and development of advanced structures.
This portion of Collins’ antecedents is Hamilton-Sundstrand and B. F. Goodrich Aerospace. Each was acquired by United Technologies, the forerunner of today’s RTX.
Collins has three basic lines of business: aerostructures, landing systems, and propeller and cockpit controls.
Going back to Jim McNerney, the CEO of The Boeing Co. from 2005-2015, the company said repeatedly that its next new airplane will be as much, or more, about production than it will be about the aircraft.
A new materials airplane based on composites or thermoplastics or a similar material to replace the ubiquitous 737 needs a production rate of 60-80 a month, or even more. This can’t be achieved with an autoclave process. Boeing and NASA, the US space agency, are studying new materials processes aimed at this rate.
Airbus is conducting similar studies in Europe with EU companies.
Airbus is openly talking about launching a new airplane program in 2030 to replace the A320 beginning in 2038. Boeing is quietly understood to be operating on a similar timeline for a new program that may be aimed at a New Midmarket Airplane (NMA) category airplane.
The underlying question, then, is whether these new processes will be ready by the time Airbus and Boeing want to launch an airplane program.
Melrose profits climb on higher defense spending as transformation nears completion
By Tom Batchelor
Aug 3, 2025, © Leeham News: Melrose has reported a strong set of interim results for the first half of 2025 as demand for its defense products soared, driving expanding margins and a sharp uptick in profitability.
The UK-based group – now a focused aerospace and defense specialist – posted 6% like-for-like revenue growth compared to the same period last year, to £1.7bn, and a 29% increase in adjusted operating profit, to £310m.
Across the aerospace division, Melrose reported sales growth of 6%, a 27% increase in operating profit to £324m, with margins expanding by 3.9ppts.
Within that division, Melrose’s engines unit saw sales growth of 11%, driven by the civil aftermarket, with operating profit up 26% to £261m.
The structures unit registered sales growth of 3% and an operating profit up 32%, to £63m. A £14m loss in the corporate division took overall profit to £310m.
“We delivered a strong performance in the first half with a 29% improvement in profit and cash flow significantly stronger than last year despite the backdrop of supply chain and tariff disruptions,” said CEO Peter Dilnot.
Bjorn’s Corner: Faster aircraft development. Part 1.
By Bjorn Fehrm
August 1, 2025, ©. Leeham News: Four years ago I did a series about aircraft development together with Henry Tam and Andrew Telesca. Both worked on the Mitsubishi Spacejet program. You can find the series here.
It was about the arduous task of developing and producing a certified aircraft for the FAA Part 23 standard and its EASA equivalent. The idea was to better describe what’s ahead for the many upstarts that wanted to develop 9-seat and 19-seat alternative propulsion aircraft.
Now we do a series about recent ideas on how the long development times for large airliners can be shortened. New projects talk about cutting development calendar time by one-third or more. Is this realistic?
Figure 1. The A350 development schedule from December 2011. Source: Airbus.
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LEAP deliveries and spare parts demand lift Safran in H1 2025
By Tom Batchelor
Jul 31, 2025, © Leeham News: Safran has reported a robust set of half-year results for 2025, underpinned by booming aftermarket services, a ramp-up in LEAP engine deliveries, and strong growth across all business segments.
The aerospace and defence supplier posted revenues of €14.8bn ($16.9bn) for the first six months of the year, up 13.2% compared to H1 2024.
The Paris-based group’s propulsion division led the charge, with revenue up 16.9%, boosted by a 21.3% surge in aftermarket services and a 9.7% rise in original equipment (OE) sales.