Leeham News and Analysis
There's more to real news than a news release.
Too many orders? Yes, says consultant. No, says ex-super-salesman
Jan. 28, 2019, © Leeham News: There are too many airliner orders for the future demand, says a leading aviation consultant.
John Leahy. Airbus photo.
No, there aren’t, says the leading industry salesman, now retired.
These opposing views emerged at the Airfinance Journal Dublin conference last week.
Adam Pilarski, the consultant from the US firm Avitas, said a recession is on the horizon.
John Leahy, the former COO Customers from Airbus, said overbooking orders is a good thing.
UTC-Collins merger creates super-supplier
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By Bryan Corliss
Jan. 28, 2019, © Leeham News: You might have missed it over the holidays, but something happened about the time you polished off the last of your Thanksgiving leftovers that just might have changed the balance of power between the major players in our industry.
That something was the closing of the merger between United Technologies Corp. and Rockwell Collins.
The deal, which formally closed on Nov. 26, created a new super-supplier that rivals Boeing’s Commercial Airplane division in size, outstrips it in terms of profitability and has the potential to upset the multi-tiered supply chain pyramid the industry has grown used to over the past few decades.
Pontificatons: From the sidelines at the AFJ Dublin conference
By Scott Hamilton
Jan. 28, 2019, © Leeham News: Launch by Boeing of the New Midmarket Aircraft (NMA) is pretty much a given, despite a still undecided business case, say people on the sidelines of the Airfinance Journal’s Dublin 2019 conference.
Here is a potpourri of information picked up at the conference, which is attended by about 2,000 people.
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Bjorn’s Corner: Pitch stability, Part 7
By Bjorn Fehrm
Jan. 25, 2019, ©. Leeham News: We have covered the pitch stability for an airliner including some well know problems around deep stall.
We now continue with other frequent problems as the aircraft covers a large envelope in speed and altitude.
Figure 1. The pitch moment coefficient curve of an early DC-9 candidate. Read more
Boeing’s 777X analyzed
By Bjorn Fehrm
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Introduction
January 24, 2019, © Leeham News: Boeing will roll out the first 777X flight test aircraft mid-spring. The first aircraft, the static test airframe, was rolled out in September. Flight-testing should start in the early summer and first delivery is expected mid-2020.
With certification and delivery 18 months away it’s time to look at the project and understand where the 777X positions itself versus the competition.
Figure 1. First flight test Boeing 777-9 with the GE9X engines mounted. Source: Boeing.
Summary:
- The 777X achieves better fuel consumption per seat despite a larger and heavier airframe thanks to more advanced wings and engines.
- We compare its design to the 777-300ER and the Airbus A350-1000 competitor.
Look at entire portfolio when investing in sub-types, Airbus and Boeing say
Jan. 23, 2019, © Leeham News, Dublin: Investors and lessors should take into account the entire product line offered by Airbus and Boeing when considering sub-types that may 
have few sales to date, officials of the two companies said at the annual conference in Dublin organized by Airfinance Journal.
Tim Myers, president of Boeing Capital Corp., and Mark Pearman-Wright, Head of Leasing & Investor Marketing for Airbus, said the 737-7, 737-9, 737-10, A319neo, A321LR, A330-800 and the new 777X should be looked at in context of the entire 737, A320, A330 and 777 lines when making investment decisions.
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Rolls-Royces sees NMA “addressable” market as 4,000-5,000, same as Boeing
Jan. 22, 2019, © Leeham News: Rolls-Royce sees an “addressable” market for the Middle of the Market Aircraft at between 4,000 and 5,000 over 20 years—the same size Boeing sees.
But at the Airfinance Journal annual conference today in Dublin, an executive declined to be specific about the details of this assessment.
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Rolls sees end of Trent 1000 issues, but a spike in 787 AOG possible
Jan. 22, 2019, © Leeham News, Dublin: Rolls-Royce faces an uptick in Boeing 787s that may become “aircraft on the ground” (AOG) as inspections of Trent 1000s spike in the coming 
months.
But Richard Goodhead, SVP Marketing, Rolls-Royce, says the worst is behind the company and the airlines—even though it will be a few years before engine part replacements are fully integrated into the global fleet.
There are more than 100 Boeing 787 Trent 1000 customers. About 20 have issues.
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Additive manufacturing explained
By Anna Kucirkova
Special to Leeham News
Introduction
Jan. 22, 2019, © Leeham News: A lot of changes have taken place in the manufacturing industry over the years.
Anna Kucirkova
Just a few decades ago, the concept of manufacturing products from your home seemed impossible. If you wanted a product, then you had to purchase it or request a company to produce it for you.
Now you can purchase a machine, set it in your house and produce what you desire with the help of a computer. What used to cost manufacturing firms huge capital can now be built at a lower price in your home.
So what changed? This article will explore some notable changes that have shaped the manufacturing industry to where it is today.
Leeham News and Comment is now Leeham News and Analysis
By Scott Hamilton
Jan. 21, 2019, © Leeham News: As Leeham News begins its 11th year, we’ve undertaken some changes consistent with the rebranding of our affiliate, Leeham Co. Leeham Co. celebrates its 20th anniversary this year.
Our rebranding research last year illuminated an important distinction that led to a name change. Leeham News and Comment is now Leeham News and Analysis (LNA).
The new name more accurately reflects Leeham News’ approach to covering commercial aviation news by drawing on our expertise to tell you what it means.
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Posted on January 21, 2019 by Scott Hamilton
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