Pratt & Whitney Archives - Page 40 of 51 - Leeham News and Analysis

BBD faces skyline challenges in 2016: Russia, Ukraine, Iraq customers

Note: The CSeries resumed airborne flight tests Sept. 7.

The announcement two weeks ago by Sweden’s Malmo Aviation that it won’t be the first operator of Bombardier’s CSeries is an unneeded image hit for the program, but not one we’re particularly concerned about. We think there are other early operators who potentially raise more concern.

Malmo was scheduled to receive its first CS100 in the second half of next year. The program’s entry-into-service will possibly slip into 1Q2016 as a result of the May 29 engine failure with a Pratt & Whitney P1000G on CS100 Flight Test Vehicle 1. Engines are being redelivered and we expect the first of the FTVs to return to the air very soon.

13 Comments

Posted on September 7, 2014 by Scott Hamilton

Bombardier, CSeries, Pratt & Whitney

Bombardier, CSeries, GTF, Ilyushin Finance Corp., Iraqi Airways, Malmo Aviation, Odyssey Airlines, Pratt & Whitney, Pratt & Whitney GTF, UT Air, VIM Airlines

Odds and Ends: Boeing leads net orders YTD; A320neo; ExIm Bank; Frontier Air

Airbus vs Boeing orders: Airbus reported its order tally through August and while it surpassed 1,000 gross orders, it’s net orders trail Boeing significantly. This article sums things up nicely, though it doesn’t include Boeing’s last four days of August. Boeing reports weekly and the latest report is due out today. Through August 26, Boeing trails Airbus slightly in gross orders but leads in net orders.

Update: Boeing just posted its weekly order tally: 1,004 gross orders (to Airbus’ 1,001) and 941 net orders, still well ahead of Airbus’ net orders.

A320neo first flight: Airbus will launch the first flight of the A320neo this month for the airborne test program. This is powered by the Pratt & Whitney GTF; the CFM LEAP A320neo is supposed to follow by about six months. Entry-into-service for the GTF neo is planned for October 2015.

ExIm Bank: Members of Congress are looking at a short-term extension of the ExIm Bank‘s authority (read: until after the November election).

Frontier Airlines: This carrier is rapidly converting to an Ultra Low Cost Carrier business model, a process begun several years ago and accelerated last year. Aviation Week has an article that takes a look.

Go Seahawks: The NFL season opens tonight with the 2014 Superbowl champs Seattle Seahawks hosting the Green Bay Packers. Go Hawks!

25 Comments

Posted on September 4, 2014 by Scott Hamilton

Airbus, Boeing, CFM, Pratt & Whitney

A320NEO, CFM, ExIm Bank, Frontier Airlines, GTF, LEAP, Pratt & Whitney, Pratt & Whitney GTF

Odds and Ends: Malmo and CSeries; Boeing’s Terrible Teens; MH 370

Malmo and CSeries: Malmo Airlines, a small carrier in Sweden that is a subsidiary of Braathens, last week said it withdrew as the launch operator of the Bombardier CSeries. Malmo has five CS100s and five CS300s on order.

First delivery was scheduled for the second half of next year. The oil line failure in a Pratt & Whitney GTF engine on May 29 has set the flight testing back, although BBD hasn’t said by how much. We believe it will likely be a day-for-day setback and it’s possible that EIS will actually slip to 1Q2016.

The flight test fleet is expected to return to the air this month.

According to the Ascend data base, Lufthansa Group’s Swiss Airlines subsidiary was to be the second operator, also in 2015. We don’t expect Swiss to change its planned delivery schedule.

19 Comments

Posted on September 1, 2014 by Scott Hamilton

Airbus, Boeing, CSeries, Malaysian Airlines, MH370, Pratt & Whitney

787, 787 Terrible Teens, Boeing, Bombardier, CS100, CS300, CSeries, GTF, Malaysia Airlines, Malmo Aviation, MH370, Pratt & Whitney, Pratt & Whitney GTF

Focus on Bombardier after more executive changes

This report has been updated since it was issued to our E-subscribers last Monday to reflect our new estimate of the return to airborne status for the flight test program.

Bombardier two weeks ago made more executive changes to the CSeries program, replacing the vice president of marketing and other officials. The company said additional changes might be forthcoming—a clear signal that something more is afoot.

Bombardier has been stuck on 203 firm orders for the CSeries for the better part of this year, although the number of orders and commitments has swelled to 513 with a much better than expected Farnborough Air Show. Still, MOUs and LOIs aren’t firm orders with deposits and progress payments, and poor sales of the CRJ, Q400 and business jet divisions combine with the R&D costs of the CSeries to put a huge financial squeeze on the company. Layoffs and cost cutting, along with the management changes, add to the perception that BBD is a company in trouble.

11 Comments

Posted on August 31, 2014 by Scott Hamilton

Airbus, Boeing, Bombardier, Embraer, Pratt & Whitney

737 MAX, 737-7, 787, A319, A320, A320NEO, A350, Airbus, Boeing, Bombardier, CRJ, CS100, CS300, CS300 ECS, E-Jet, Embraer, Q400

After-market support becoming key to winning engine orders

Maintenance and power-by-the-hour parts and support contracts are increasingly becoming the deciding factor in deciding which engines and which airplanes will be ordered—it’s no longer a matter of engine price or even operating costs, customers of Airbus and Boeing tell us.

Ten years ago, 30% of engine selection had power-by-the-hour (PBH) contracts attached to them. Today, 70% are connected, says one lessor that has Airbus and Boeing aircraft in its portfolio, and which has ordered new aircraft from each company.

“We’ve seen a huge move in maintenance contracts,” this lessor says.

10 Comments

Posted on August 25, 2014 by Scott Hamilton

Airbus, American Airlines, Boeing, Bombardier, CFM, Comac, CSeries, Embraer, GE Aviation, Irkut, Mitsubishi, Pratt & Whitney, Rolls-Royce

737 MAX, 737NG, 747-400, 767, 777, 777-200LR, 777-300ER, 777X, 787, A320ceo, A320NEO, A330ceo, A330neo, Airbus, American Airlines, Boeing, Bombardier, C919, CF34, CFM, CFM 56, Comac, CSeries, E-Jet, E-Jet E2, Embraer, Frontier Airlines, GE Aviation, GECAS, GEnx, GTF, Irkut, LEAP, Lufthansa Airlines, MC-21, Mitsubishi, MRJ, Pratt & Whitney, Republic Airways Holdings, Rolls-Royce

PW re-delivering GTF to Bombardier CSeries flight test fleet, airborne program likely next month

Pratt & Whitney has completed a design repair for the Pure Power 1500G used on the Bombardier CSeries Flight Test Vehicles (FTVs) and is re-delivering the engines, Leeham News has learned.

Flight tests are expected to resume in September, likely the first half, according to sources close to the situation. BBD will only say flight tests will resume “in the coming weeks.”

A PW spokesman was equally ambiguous. “We continue to work closely with Bombardier to return the CSeries to flight testing,” the spokesman wrote in an email. “I would also note that the fundamental architecture of the Geared Turbofan engine remains sound.”

The FTVs have been grounded since May 29, when a PW engine on FTV 1 suffered a failure in an oil seal, causing a fire and spewing engine parts into the composite wing of the airplane. The wing is undergoing repairs.

Details of the fix for the FTV engines have not been revealed. But one person familiar with the situation told us that the FTV engine repairs enable the test fleet to return to the air, and that the redesign of the affected area of the engine will be incorporated into a production redesign before the CSeries enters service. Bombardier continues to maintain that the CS100, the first of the two-member family scheduled to enter service, will do so in the second half of 2015. Some aerospace analysts believe BBD will be hard-pressed to meet this schedule, and EIS will slip into early 2016. The larger CS300 was scheduled to enter service six months after the CS100, and it’s unclear if this EIS will continue to have a six month gap.

Bombardier is preparing to resume the flight test program with the four FTVs that have been completed; three more are in assembly.

The Pure Power 1100G for the Airbus A320neo, scheduled to enter service in October next year, will incorporate the production redesign, says the source familiar with the situation. No delay is expected in this program.

9 Comments

Posted on August 25, 2014 by Scott Hamilton

Airbus, Bombardier, CSeries, Pratt & Whitney

A320NEO, Airbus, Bombardier, CS100, CS300, CSeries, Geared Turbo Fan, GTF, Pratt & Whitney, Pratt & Whitney GTF, Pure Power 1100G, Pure Power 1500G

Odds and Ends: Dual sourcing; FAA overflight bans; Super Constellation

Dual sourcing: There is always much angst in Seattle among the labor groups and Washington State’s elected officials when Boeing decides to put work outside the state. Much of this angst is because Boeing uses this as a sledgehammer to beat up unions for concessions and the state for tax breaks.

But dual sourcing isn’t really a bad thing. Pratt & Whitney is dual sourcing to avoid a single point of failure, as this article explains. Boeing, of course, has made the same point but it always gets submerged by its heavier-handed tactics. We’ve often made the point that if Boeing wants to set up assembly lines elsewhere, why not use the Natural Disaster Risk Diversion as the reason–and nobody could argue the point (well, they could, but it is a valid concern).

FAA overflights: It’s big news here in the USA, likely far less so in the rest of the world: the racial unrest in the small Missouri town of Ferguson, a suburb of St. Louis, where an unarmed 18-year African-American male was shot six times by a white policeman. Police say the young man attacked a police office. Witnesses say he had his hands up to comply with the officer’s orders. A grand jury will attempt to sort out facts. In the meantime, demonstrations–some peaceful, some not, some with looting–have turned Ferguson into an armed camp of police looking like the Army, in Humvees, battle gear and automatic weapons.

9 Comments

Posted on August 19, 2014 by Scott Hamilton

Boeing, Malaysian Airlines, Pratt & Whitney

Boeing, Breitling Constellation, Federal Aviation Administration, Ferguson (MO), L-1049 Super Constellation, Lockheed Constellation, Malaysia Airlines, MH17, Pratt & Whitney

Odds and Ends: CSeries status; Airbus accident analysis; 737 rate increase; Kenya Air holds Boeing hostage

CSeries Status: Here is an interesting, detailed article from a blogger who follows the Bombardier CSeries more closely than anyone we can think of.

The article pretty well summarizes the issues, although we have this additional color: the fixes have been identified and are being installed and are still in Transport Canada review for approval and the green light to resume flight testing.

Airbus accident analysis: Airbus issued a study that looks at the causes of commercial accidents since 1958. The full report may be found here. The report is intentionally light on text and heavy on charts and graphics, so it’s easy to digest.

737 rate increase: Several media reported yesterday that Greg Smith, CFO of The Boeing Co., told an investors day Boeing is likely to decide this year on a production rate increase for the 737 line beyond the 47/mo previously announced to go into effect in 2017. Well, you read it here first–we reported more than a year ago Boeing was looking at a rate increase to 52/mo and even 60/mo. We’ve had in our estimates the 52/mo by 2018, 2019 or 2020, followed by 60 a year or two later.

Kenya Air: no more Boeings: We know some Airbus customers have long tied route authority to buying Airbus airplanes, and China is notorious for holding Airbus and Boeing orders hostage for political reasons. Kenya Airlines now says it won’t buy more Boeing aircraft unless it gets US route authority, according to this article.

20 Comments

Posted on August 15, 2014 by Scott Hamilton

Airbus, Boeing, Bombardier, CSeries, Pratt & Whitney

737, 737 production rate, Airbus, Boeing, Bombardier, CSeries, Greg Smith, Kenya Airlines

GE analysis post Farnborough

Our wrap up of Farnborough would be incomplete without looking closer at the world’s leading engine supplier, GE Aviation, which together with partners (like SAFRAN in CFM joint venture) garnered more than $36 Billion in orders and commitments during the show. This figure was only significantly bettered by Airbus ($75 Billion) and it came close to Boeing’s $40 Billion. With such level of business the claim by GE Aviation CEO, David Joyce, that the Airbus A330neo engine business was not the right thing for GE as they have more business than then they know what to do with, was certainly no case of “sour grapes”. Read more

68 Comments

Posted on July 28, 2014 by Bjorn Fehrm

Airbus, Airlines, Boeing, Bombardier, CFM, Comac, CSeries, Embraer, Farnborough Air Show, GE Aviation, Leeham News and Comment, Pratt & Whitney, Rolls-Royce, Uncategorized

737 MAX, 777, 777-300ER, 777X, 787, A320NEO, A330neo, Airbus, Boeing, Bombardier, CFM, Embraer, Pratt & Whitney, Rolls-Royce

Odds and Ends: Some FAS leftovers–a big CSeries order?; EMB lands 60; and more

Farnborough Air Show leftovers:

Big CSeries order coming? Flight Global reports that lessor Macquarie Airfinance is about ready to sign a deal for 50 Bombardier CSeries. If true, this would be a major departure for the lessor, which historically hasn’t placed speculative orders–and it would be a major boost for Bombardier. The Flight Global report doesn’t say if this would be 50 firm or a combination of firm and options. BBD and MAF didn’t comment for Flight. We reached out to MAF and received this response:

“The Flightglobal release was concocted on a rumour and we don’t comment on rumours. You know how it is with lessors. We’re constantly considering every aircraft type that could provide us with value-adding opportunities.”

Bombardier has been selling the CSeries in small numbers, often to second or third tier, and even start-up carriers, a path Boeing took in the early days of the 737-200 program. Airbus relied heavily on lessors for early A320 orders. Boutique lessor LCI was a launch customer for the airplane, and Falko Regional Aircraft Leasing became a customer at FAS.

BBD now has 513 orders and commitments for CSeries.

65 Comments

Posted on July 20, 2014 by Scott Hamilton

Airbus, Bombardier, CSeries, Embraer, Farnborough Air Show, Pratt & Whitney

A320NEO, Airbus, Bombardier, CSeries, E-190, E-190E2, E-Jet, E-Jet E2, Embraer, Falko Regional Aircraft Leasing, GTF, LCI, Macquarie Airfinance, Pratt & Whitney

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Leeham News and Analysis

There's more to real news than a news release.

Leeham News and Analysis

BBD faces skyline challenges in 2016: Russia, Ukraine, Iraq customers

Odds and Ends: Boeing leads net orders YTD; A320neo; ExIm Bank; Frontier Air

Odds and Ends: Malmo and CSeries; Boeing’s Terrible Teens; MH 370

Focus on Bombardier after more executive changes

After-market support becoming key to winning engine orders

PW re-delivering GTF to Bombardier CSeries flight test fleet, airborne program likely next month

Odds and Ends: Dual sourcing; FAA overflight bans; Super Constellation

Odds and Ends: CSeries status; Airbus accident analysis; 737 rate increase; Kenya Air holds Boeing hostage

GE analysis post Farnborough

Odds and Ends: Some FAS leftovers–a big CSeries order?; EMB lands 60; and more

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