Odds and Ends: The Space Shuttle; Porter’s community challenge;

The Space Shuttle: As the world knows, the US discontinued the Space Shuttle program. The shuttles were highly sought by museums throughout the country, including by Seattle’s Museum of Flight. The Museum lost out on receiving one of the Shuttles but it received the trainer, a full-size replica of the Shuttle on which astronauts trained prior to going into the real thing. Seattle was disappointed in not receiving a space shuttle, but frankly we think the Museum–and enthusiasts who visit the Museum–got the better deal.

The real Shuttles, and the prototype Enterprise, are on display but access is restricted. Nobody can get inside one of these. On the other hand, the Museum of Flight offers tours into the crew compartment and cockpit (for a fee) and anyone who purchase admission to the general Museum can get into the cargo bay.

We went to see this last weekend. We’d previously seen the Enterprise at the Steven Udvar-Hazy Museum at Washington Dulles Airport and couldn’t get very close to it. As impressive as it was to see this ship, being able to go into the crew compartment, cockpit and cargo bay of the trainer was much more

interesting.

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Odds and Ends: Scrapping young aircraft; NTSB Battery hearing, Day 2

Aviation Week has a story about the scrapping of relatively young aircraft. There has been a long-running debate over whether the useful lives of aircraft have been shrinking. The focus has been on the Airbus A320 and Boeing 737NG families, though some attention has also been paid to twin-aisle aircraft.

Historically useful lives have been 25-35 years for operation by passenger aircraft before potential cargo conversion, if at all.

With the forthcoming re-engined single-aisles, there has been a lot of speculation that the useful lives will be sharply reduced, and there have been several examples of early scrapping of early-model A320s and some but not as many of 737NGs. Lessors are particularly sensitive to the prospect of shorter useful lives due to the depreciation curve assumptions. Irish lessor Avolon even held an international webcast on the topic. Boeing has published a white paper on it. Both companies argued there has been no change.

Thus, the Aviation Week story is of interest.

Separately, here are a couple of stories following Day 2 of the NTSB hearing on lithium batteries. The hearing on the Japan Air Lines Boeing 787 fire will be April 23-24.

The Seattle Times-a report from Day 2.

Seattle P-I: A crash every two years.

Reuters: FAA sees lessons

Time for some irreverence

We were on a United Airlines flight recently–a Boeing 737-900ER, so it was legacy Continental Airlines. It was equipped with the Boeing Sky Interior, and this was the first time we’d seen the interior outside of a mock-up. It was as nice as we’ve often said.

On board was a mother and her lap-child (which is a bad idea, but that’s another topic). We are always fascinated to watch a newborn-to-about-two years old discover the world. This little tyke was taking in the Sky Interior and the blue mood lighting and thought it was pretty cool. So did we.

The Captain, as one often does, announced we would be descending shortly and we would be arriving at the C Concourse, “C as in Continental.” It was obvious which legacy airline making up today’s United he was from.

On approach to O’Hare, we wound up doing a full go-around. By this we mean engine throttles way up, nose attitude way up and a sharp left hand turn. First time in all the decades of flying we’ve had one of these. Speaks well of air safety. All the pilot said was he was directed to do so by the controller because there was an airplane in front of us.

On the next leg, we were on a Bombardier CRJ-200, or what we call a Tinker Toy airplane. Before push back, the pilot asked for two volunteers to move from the front to the back for weight-and-balance. Seems the airplane is designed for a full load and 2,500 lbs of cargo and we only had 1,500 lbs, so two people needed to move to the back to offset the thousand pounds. Several comments to those two passengers about their weight as they moved down the aisle.

Gov vows to keep 777X in Washington

Gov. Jay Inslee vows to keep assembly of the 777X in Washington State, a development that gained even higher profile this week with the announcement by Boeing Tuesday that it will spend $1bn to expand its Charleston (SC) facility.

In a press gaggle last week following Boeing’s opening of the Everett Delivery Center at Paine Field, where the current generation 777 is assembled, Inslee repeated his vow to win assembly of the successor airplane for Everett.

“Boeing management understands we’re the jewel of aircraft manufacturing in the world,” Inslee said. “We have to understand that every single model from here on, including the 777X, is going to be competed. We need to do our job to be competitive, to improve the skills training from machinists and engineers, to improve the transportation system so that we can move products and Boeing can move their engines back and forth. If we can do these things, we’re always going to be on top and I intend to do that.”

We asked Inslee about Washington’s strict environmental regulations compared with Southern states, including South Carolina, where regulations are much more lax compared with here. Inslee, a strong environmentalist during his tenure in Congress and who has a strong “green” agenda as governor, replied:

“I am firmly of the conviction that we can have a sound environment and a booming economy, including aerospace. What we can do is maintain our standards but I do hope we can find a way to expedite our permitting decision-making. I think we can make these on a more timely basis and I am working with my regulatory agencies to do that. I believe Boeing values the environment as we do in Washington, and we’re going to have both.”

The press gaggle then shifted over to Pat Shanahan, VP of Aircraft Programs, who was the ranking Boeing representative at the Delivery Center’s opening. In his position, he is also keenly involved in new aircraft development.

Given the now-paranoid nature of Washington politicians and media over Boeing’s future here, Shanahan was asked if the new Delivery Center had any bearing on Boeing’s commitment to Puget Sound.

“We wouldn’t build a facility like this if we weren’t committed to it,” he said. We then asked if the Everett facility has enough room to seamlessly integrate the 777X, or whether an expansion would be required, or whether another airplane program would have to be discontinued to make way. We noted that the Renton facility had to displace some staging areas for parts and equipment currently serving the 737NG production to make way for the 737 MAX line start-up.

“We have a lot of options,” replied. “You saw in Renton we had a lot of options. Over the course doing any kind of development, or laying out a program, you go through every one of those as well as what kind of investments are required and what kind of business case you need to make. We’re in the midst of the 777X doing lots of studies.”

Shanahan declined to answer a question from a reporter whether the 777X will kill the stagnant 747-8I.

Separately:

It’s official: Canada’s Porter selects CSeries for difficult Toronto City Airport

Bombardier Aerospace@Bombardier_Aero 41s

Warm welcome to #CSeries Canadian launch customer @porterairlines that signed a cond. agreement for up to 30 CS100 http://ow.ly/i/1Rx4e

The Toronto Star was quick to post this story.

Here is the Porter press release.

******

Canada’s Porter Airlines was the unidentified “Americas” customer announced some months ago to have signed a Letter of Intent for 12+18 CSeries.

The companies revealed today that the customer is Porter Airlines, which chose the CS100 for operations at the highly restricted and difficult Toronto City Airport.

The airport is on a small island near downtown Toronto and currently is restricted to turbo-prop service. Porter operates Bombardier’s Q400.

.

The runways are short; the longest, 8/26, is a mere 3,988 ft. Porter is asking authorities to extend the runway.

There are also noise restrictions, but Bombardier, Porter and Pratt & Whitney say the CSeries Geared Turbo Fan engine, combined with the airframe, won’t be a noise nuisance.

This is another win for the CSeries at noise-sensitive and difficult airports. Swedish airline Malmo ordered the CSeries for one of its difficult airports. An unidentified customer, believed to be but never confirmed as PrivatAir, was widely reported to have ordered the airplane for service to London City Airport, another short-field, noise-sensitive airport that also requires a steep glide slope due to surrounding buildings.

Here’s a story from The Province posted this morning in advance of Porter’s announcement.

Odds and Ends: Cybersecurity and aviation; lithium-ion batteries; WA worries about SC; Porter Airlines

Cybersecurity threat to aviation: Addison Schonland at AirInsight has been working on a project related to cybersecurity and the threat to aviation. He’s posted this article that raises serious issues.

Lithium-Ion Batteries: On the eve of the NTSB two-day forum on lithium-ion batteries, Reuters has a think-piece about these batteries in general: uses in cars and other products, for example. It’s been a 10-year research project by battery designers. Quite an interesting article.

WA worries about SC: The Seattle Times writes that Washington State officials are worried about the latest expansion by Boeing in South Carolina.

In advance of Porter CSeries order: A lot of Tweeting from an aerospace writer in Canada:

  1. Source says Porter feels city of toronto and Feds willing to revisit tripartite agreement.

  2. Unclear at this point where the Porters CSeries will fly from when its delivered in 2016

  3. Porter Airlines adding Calgary, Vancouver. LA, Miami, and Orlando using CSeries. From where remains the question.

  4. @scottdeveau Porter is seeking a lift on jet aircraft bans at Billy Bishop and aims to add 180 m on either end of the runway for CSeries

Typo or Freudian slip? Brendan Kearney@Kearney_Brendan 16m

Now @NikkiHaley‘s comments on #Boring SC growth plan… (1/?)

Brendan Kearney@Kearney_Brendan 13m

@LeehamNews @nikkihaley ha, typo — and one that I fear making. Usually I catch myself when my thumb strays right on the keyboard.

Odds and Ends: Tit for Tat; Lockheed in crosshairs of—Embraer; 787 return to service

Tit for Tat: Airbus announces a big order from LionAir. The next day Boeing announces a big order from RyanAir. Airbus has a big press day for its groundbreaking at Mobile (AL). The next day Boeing announces a $1bn expansion at Charleston.

Lockheed in crosshairs: Embraer is going after Lockheed Martin. Aggressively.

787 Rescheduled: United Airlines put the 787 in its schedule from May 31. The FAA hasn’t cleared the airplane for flight yet, but Boeing has been telling customers to expect the plane’s return to service in May through June.

Noise contours for the Bombardier CS100 and the Porter Airlines expected order

The news that Canada’s Porter Airlines is the Unidentified North American customer that signed a Letter of Intent for up to 30 Bombardier CSeries for use at Toronto City Airport sparked a lot of noise (pun intended).

Late yesterday The Wall Street Journal reported that Porter will announce its order tomorrow.

Key to the order is the fact that BBD and engine provider Pratt & Whitney promise a low noise footprint and just 70 decibels approaching the airport. Toronto City Airport is a highly noise-sensitive airport.

As yesterday’s post about all this noted, Porter and the OEMs will argue the CS100 is no louder than the Bombardier Q400 now serving the airport. This leads to a small noise contour, or foot print, as illustrated in this BBD chart:

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Porter said to be CSeries customer for use at Toronto City Airport

Jon Ostrower was rather prolific tonight with the Tweets:

  1. .@scottdeveau Not disagreeing with the content of the Tripartite, just saying there’s a political fight coming for the future of YTZ.

  2. Bombardier advertises the CS100 & Q400 with a 70 dBA noise contour. This will be the foundation of Porter’s argument for YTZ jet service.

  3. .@scottdeveau Porter is counting on a Q400-like noise footprint for the CS100. You can count on a political fight.

  4. From Dec: Air Carrier in the Americas Signs Letter of Intent for up to 30 Bombardier CSeries Airliners http://bit.ly/Y99J3R  // Porter.

  5. The order from Porter – expected to be confirmed Wednesday – will make the carrier the first Canadian customer for Bombardier’s CSeries.

  6. A 34in pitch config. on a CS100 (same as Porter’s Q400) is 100-105 seats and it’s only 1,100nm to Miami from Toronto.

  7. Edge of envelope CS100 operation is 4,950ft TOFL@MTOW 110 pax to 2,950nm. Porter won’t need that much range or that many seats.

  8. .@crankyflier Porter is counting on serious performance and noise targets on the CS100 to operate in and out of the island.

  9. It’s understood that the CSeries jets will remain based at the island Toronto City airport, whose longest runway is just shy of 4,000ft.

  10. The deal for 12 CS100s +18 options is set to be announced by Porter as early as Wednesday morning, say two people familiar with the deal.

  11. Breaking: Toronto-based Porter Airlines is set to buy up to 30 Bombardier CSeries. Dec. order attributed earlier to an “Americas” customer.

    And the Financial Post’s follow-ups:

    1. Porter Airlines to announce Bombardier CSeries order: report http://natpo.st/XA5wvd 

    2. @jonostrower No doubt about that. I believe the Tripartite Agreement explicitly prohibits jet engines though.Doesn’t matter the sound levels