Leeham News and Analysis
There's more to real news than a news release.
Leeham News and Analysis
- Bjorn’s Corner: Air Transport’s route to 2050. Part 27. June 20, 2025
- Pontifications: A Personal Note June 19, 2025
- Airbus books 142 firm orders as Boeing retracts from the Paris Air Show June 19, 2025
- AIN Media Group Agrees to Acquire Leeham News & Analysis June 17, 2025
- Five for Five: Air India crash points to systemic problems at Boeing that CEO Ortberg must fix June 15, 2025
Eric Schulz new Airbus Commercial Aircraft sales manager
By Bjorn Fehrm
November 28, 2017, ©. Leeham Co: Eric Schulz, President of the Civil Aerospace division at Rolls-Royce, has been appointed as the successor of John Leahy, COO-Customers, at Airbus.
Schulz will join Airbus as EVP, Head of Sales, Marketing & Contracts for the Commercial Aircraft business end of January 2018.
Leahy, also called Mr. Airbus by his customers, is retiring after having sold 16,000 aircraft over 33 years at Airbus. Leahy will stay on until early spring 2018 to help the transition to Schulz.
Schulz has been heading Civil Aerospace at Rolls-Royce since January 2016. He joined Rolls Royce in February 2010 as Chief Operating Officer of Gas Turbine Services and ran the Civil Large engines business from 2013.
I met Schulz at the Airbus A330neo first flight a month ago, where he headed the Rolls-Royce group. He is a very approachable and I got a good impression after only 10 minutes of discussion, while waiting for the A330neo to taxi in after its first flight.
Schulz is of French origin but speaks perfect English after 10 years in the US. He worked as president for EADS’ and Northrop Grumman’s EADS Aeroframe company (who successfully sold the Airbus A330 for the US Air Force tanker program, which was overturned on appeal by Boeing) and then president of Goodrich Actuation Systems until joining Rolls-Royce in 2010.
Schulz is now going full circle, as his first job after Masters Degrees at the Ecole d’Ingenieurs of Geneva and ESTA Engineering and Technology School (Paris), was at Airbus (then Aerospatiale).
Boeing’s good year for wide-body orders
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Introduction
Nov. 27, 2017, © Leeham Co.: Officials from Airbus and Boeing each said this year that wide-body orders, languishing for the past couple of years, should pick up by the turn of the decade as the in-service fleet reaches 20-25 years old.
Aerolineas Argentinas plans a wide-body competition for deliveries around 2020-2021. Photo via Google images.
But Boeing has had an exemplary year through Nov. 21, the most recent update of its Orders and Deliveries website. The company reported 160 net orders for the 767, 777 and 787, with 88 for the latter. Commitments for 40 more at the Dubai Air Show are not included, as these have not yet been firmed up.
Airbus hasn’t done nearly as well: just 56 net orders for the A330 and A350 families through October, its most recently reported data.
Have Boeing’s results indicated a sooner-than-expected uptick in orders?
Summary
- Not enough data to draw definitive conclusions, but uptick may be arriving early.
- Aerolineas Argentinas and Thai Airways are looking at wide-body aircraft orders. See the stories here and here.
- Early this year, 5-year slump was seen. By August, strong market seen.
Pontifications: Scrutiny of HNA intensifies
By Scott Hamilton
Nov. 27, 2017, © Leeham Co.: Time for some catch-up in the world of commercial aviation.
Scrutiny of HNA Group is intensifying as regulators in Switzerland claim the Chinese company provided false information in the takeover of a Swiss aerospace company.
Additionally, Airfinance Journal reports that at least five lessors have seen delayed lease payments from HNA Group airlines ”as HNA pumps cash from those carriers into other areas of the highly leveraged conglomerate.”
And HNA’s Hong Kong Express low-cost carrier has been barred from further expansion until it fixes problems identified by the Chinese government.
LNC reported in September that HNA was coming under credit pressure due to its high leverage.
In addition to a plethora of airline investments, HNA owns one of the world’s largest aircraft leasing companies, Avolon.
Bjorn’s Corner: Aircraft drag reduction, Part 6
By Bjorn Fehrm
November 24, 2017, ©. Leeham Co: In the last Corner, we described how the Wright Brothers obtained the aerodynamic data they needed to design gliders and aircraft.
But there was additional knowledge they needed: how to control an aircraft and how to drive it forward.
Figure 1. The Langley manned Aerodrome crashes into the Potomac River 7th of October 1903. Source: Wikipedia.
Airbus A350-1000 certified. How good is it?
By Bjorn Fehrm
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Introduction
November 23, 2017, © Leeham Co.: The Airbus A350-1000 received its airworthiness certificate Tuesday, after a smooth flight test campaign. The first serial aircraft is in final assembly, for delivery to Qatar Airways next month.
With the A350-1000 now on the market, we check the efficiency difference between the A350-1000 and its main competitor, Boeing’s 777.
Figure 1. A350-1000 at cold weather testing in North Canada. Source: Airbus.
With the 777-8 five years away, we compare the A350-1000 to the present 777, the -300ER. The changed fuel prices create a different yardstick since our last comparison of the 777-300ER and A350-1000.
While at it, we also check how much better the A350-1000 score on costs versus the smaller A350-900.
Summary:
- The A350-1000 is the most efficient aircraft of the three.
- The A350-900 is smaller. It has Cash Operating Costs per seat mile which are close to the A350-1000.
- The 777-300ER is the most expensive to operate, also at today’s fuel prices. Pricing must be very aggressive to compensate operating cost differences to the A350-1000.
- With A350-1000 deliveries starting, the 777-300ER’s reign as the twin to have for 350-seat long range is ending.
easyJet doing well despite 30% decline in profits
By Bjorn Fehrm
November 22, 2017, ©. Leeham Co: We looked at easyJet March 22 and noted that the carrier is on a solid growth path, despite playing number two in the European LCC market.
The 2017 numbers are now in for FY2017 ending Sept. 30. The yearly profit is down 30% due to a competitive market, but the operation and balance sheet are strong. The Air Berlin acquisition makes easyJet the largest Berlin carrier.
Pontifications: EU weighs in for Bombardier in Boeing trade fight
By Scott Hamilton
Nov. 20, 2017, © Leeham Co.: The European Union is now getting involved in the Boeing-Bombardier trade dispute. See here and here.
The EU has taken Bombardier’s side. Although the UK previously weighed in with BBD because the wings are produced in Northern Ireland, the EU hadn’t become involved. Now it has, filing briefs with the US Department of Commerce.
Why now?
Bjorn’s Corner: Aircraft drag reduction, Part 5
November 17, 2017, ©. Leeham Co: In the last Corner, we described how the Wright Brothers (bicycle manufacturers in Dayton (OH)) decided to research their own aerodynamic data with the help of their own designed-and-built wind tunnel.
The wind tunnel was not more advanced than what had been done before. But their measurement system was. It built on their bicycle test setup, Figure 1.
Figure 1. The Wright Brothers’ arrangement for testing wing shapes on their bicycle autumn 1901. Source: NASA.
The data behind Emirates’ choice of 787-10
By Bjorn Fehrm
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Introduction
November 16, 2017, © Leeham Co.: Yesterday we outlined the qualitative reasons why the Boeing 787-10 was selected for Emirates’ medium-range routes. Now we put figures behind the words.
We will quantify the weight and drag consequences of the tighter packaging of the 787 and discuss what it’s smaller wing means in field performance from a hot Dubai International Airport.
We use our airline performance model to give us the data, flying the aircraft over typical routes.
Summary:
- The A350-900 was designed for flights up to 15 to 20 hours.
- To make these bearable, Airbus decided to offer 18-inch seat width in the nine abreast economy cabin.
- Boeing went another route. It offered a slightly narrower fuselage and let the airlines decide between eight or nine abreast economy.
- Only Japanse ANA and JAL chose the base layout with eight abreast economy (and ANA has since switched to nine abreast economy for new deliveries).
- The result is an aircraft with lower empty weight and fuel burn (everything else being equal).
- For the 787-10, Boeing combined the tighter packaged fuselage with a wing optimised for flights up to 12 hours.
- The 787-10 consequently beats the A350-900 on efficiency for shorter routes.