The A350-900 explore its longer range capability

By Bjorn Fehrm

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Introduction

March 7, 2016, ©. Leeham Co: Airbus signed an MOU with Philippine Airlines for six A350-900 with options for six more at Singapore Air Show. The deal is significant because the airline’s President & COO, Jaime J. Bautista, said that the aircraft’s range played an important role in the selection process.

The A350-900 was not designed as an especially long range aircraft, not more so than its main alternative, the Boeing 787-9. Yet in two recent selections, for Singapore Airlines and now Philippine Airlines, the range of the A350-900 has won the deal for Airbus. We explain why.

Summary:

  • The Boeing 787-9 has a standard range which is equal to the A350-900, around 7,600nm measured under equal conditions.
  • Yet the A350-900 comes out on top when Airbus and Boeing are asked to offer extended range versions of these aircraft.
  • We use our proprietary aircraft model to go behind the scenes and investigate what makes the A350 more adapted to stretches into the space of ultra-long-range aircraft than Boeing’s 787-9.

 

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Airbus needs more vertical integration, says official

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Introduction

John Leahy

John Leahy, chief operating officer-customers. Airbus photo.

March 3, 2016, © Leeham Co.: Airbus may well have avoided the supplier-driven delivery delays on its A350s had the company brought some key work in-house and become more vertically integrated, says its chief operating officer-customers.

Airbus has been bedeviled by delays in business class seat and galley deliveries from supplier Zodiac, resulting in delayed deliveries of the A350-900 to several airlines.

John Leahy, in an interview with LNC at the International Society for Aircraft Transport Trading (ISTAT) conference Feb. 29-March 1 in Phoenix (AZ), said Airbus shouldn’t be at the mercy of suppliers of interiors. His wide-ranging interview also touched on several other topics.

Summary

  • Airbus should have become more vertically integrated 10 years ago.
  • Basic supply chain solid.
  • Speaks about PW GTF, CFM LEAP
  • Airbus considering higher production rate on A320 than the announced 60/mo.

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ISTAT Day 2: MOM business case remains a challenge

March 1, 2016, (c) Leeham Co.: The manufacturers and their customers remain unclearISTAT-logo_no_tag-(2c) about the need and design of the so-called Middle of the Market aircraft, their representatives said at the ISTAT AGM today in Phoenix. The business case has yet to be proved.

Participants in the Middle of the Market Panel are:

Ron Baur, VP Fleet, United Airlines

Robert Lange, SVP Market and Product Strategy, Airbus

Randy Tinseth, VP-Marketing, Boeing

Bert van Leeuwen, Managing Director, DVB Bank

  • We’re at the 2016 ISTAT AGM in Phoenix and will be reporting on presentations and news from the sidelines.

Van Leeuwen, the banker, said financiers would need to see at least 1,000 MOMs in the market with a broad customer base to feel comfortable financing the airplanes.

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Embraer weighs in against Honeywell-UTC merger

FredCurado

Fred Curado, CEO of Embraer

March 1, 2016, © Leeham Co. Embraer joined Airbus and Boeing in opposing the potential acquisition by Honeywell of United Technologies Corp.

  • We’re at the 2016 ISTAT AGM in Phoenix and will be reporting on presentations and news from the sidelines.
  • Update, 0800 MST: Honeywell withdrew its $90bn bid for United Technologies, it was announced this morning.

UTC rejected the merger—which came to light last week—but it is unclear if Honeywell will continue to pursue the idea.

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ISTAT Day 1: Engine updates for CFM, GE, RR and PW

Feb. 29, 2016, (c) Leeham Co.: The LEAP engine, for the Boeing 737 MAX, Airbus ISTAT-logo_no_tag-(2c)A320neo and COMAC C919 is the fastest-selling engine in history, says Jean-Paul Ebanga, the president of CFM International. More than 10,000 have been sold.

  • We’re at the 2016 ISTAT AGM in Phoenix and will be reporting today and tomorrow on presentations and news from the sidelines.

“It’s on-time and on-spec,” Ebanga said. It’s either been on the date set four years ago or ahead of schedule. The engines delivered to Airbus for the A320neo are on spec, he said. It’s been certified for the neo and will be certified soon for the MAX, with 90% of the information submitted.

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ISTAT Day 1: Leahy’s biggest fear: producing enough planes to meet demand

Feb. 29, 2016, (c) Leeham Co: Aircraft lessors financed 48% of the Airbus deliveries in ISTAT-logo_no_tag-(2c)2015, with direct sales and sale-leasebacks, says John Leahy, chief operating officer customers for Airbus.

  • We’re at the 2016 ISTAT AGM in Phoenix and will be reporting today and tomorrow on presentations and news from the sidelines.

“Lessors are a key and integral part of our strategy,” Leahy said. Airbus only financed 2% of its own products last year. Export Credit Agencies financed only half the numbers of Boeing, he said.

Leahy does not see a downturn any time soon.

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ISTAT Day 1: Boeing developmental airplanes progressing

Feb. 29, 2016 (c) Leeham Co.: The Boeing 737 MAX rolled out on time, the 787-10 is in ISTAT-logo_no_tag-(2c)production and the 777-9 is in firm configuration, says Randy Tinseth, VP-Marketing for Boeing Commercial Airplanes.

  • We’re at the 2016 ISTAT AGM in Phoenix and will be reporting today and tomorrow on presentations and news from the sidelines.

Boeing is watching oil prices, the global economy, geopolitical hot-spots, cargo demand and several other factors for the near-and long-term.

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ISTAT Day 1: Used 777 values depend on engines, leases

Feb. 29, 2016 (c) Leeham Co.: The Boeing 777-200ER is not worth $7.7m or even $10m, ISTAT-logo_no_tag-(2c)but $37m to $47m, according to four appraisers who appeared today at the ISTAT AGM.

  • We’re at the 2016 ISTAT AGM in Phoenix and will be reporting today and tomorrow on presentations and news from the sidelines.

Doug Kelly of the consulting/appraisal firm Avitas notes that the Rolls-Royce Trent-powered 777s are, indeed, the least desirable airplanes. GE or PW-powered airplanes commands a $7m premium, he said.

AerCap is selling 777-200ERs with leases attached for more than $50m, Kelly said.

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Pontifications: Boeing sued over program accounting

Hamilton KING5_2

By Scott Hamilton

Feb. 29, 2016, (c) Leeham Co.: It was inevitable: a class action lawsuit was filed last week against The Boeing Co., its top officers and directors over the investigation by the US Securities and Exchange Commission of the company’s program accounting.

The lawsuit was filed last Wednesday.

The lawsuit alleges “among other things, that defendants issued materially false and misleading statements and/or failed to disclose that: (i) Boeing’s use of program accounting for its 787 Dreamliner and/or 747 jumbo aircrafts relied on inflated sales forecasts; (ii) Boeing’s use of program accounting for its 787 Dreamliner and/or 747 jumbo aircrafts relied on understated estimates of production costs; and (iii) as a result of the foregoing, Boeing’s public statements were materially false and misleading….”

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Bjorn’s Corner: Flight tests

By Bjorn Fehrm

By Bjorn Fehrm

19 February 2016, ©. Leeham Co: Last week I described how Mitsubishi Aircraft Corporation (MAC) issued a press release on Christmas day communicating MAC would be doing structural reinforcements on their test airframes before continuing flight testing. MAC was perhaps overzealous when informing the world that they would do minor reinforcements to two ribs and a few stub spars in order to pass Ultimate strength tests for the aircraft.

I rightfully thought this is the Japanese culture at play; there must not be a big problem behind it.

There was one more area of that press release that intrigued me. Here what it said: “The first flight and the subsequent flight tests have confirmed the basic characteristics to be satisfactory. However, we also have recognized several issues as we attempt to accelerate our development.”

Time to decrypt this as well and compare to what has become standard industry practice.

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